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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center'><font size=2
color="#3f4a50" face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Trebuchet MS";color:#3F4A50'><img width=400 height=91 id="_x0000_i1025"
src="http://internetgovernance.org/images/IGP_logo_Masthead2.gif"
alt="Internet Governance Project"><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<div align=center><!-- Begin .header -->
<table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width=708
style='width:531.0pt'>
<tr>
<td style='padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:12.75pt'><b><font size=3 color="#003366"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS";
color:#003366;font-weight:bold'><br>
</span></font></b><b><font color="#333333" face="Trebuchet MS"><span
style='font-family:"Trebuchet MS";color:#333333;font-weight:bold'>January 12,
2009</span></font></b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50" face="Trebuchet MS"><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS";color:#3F4A50'><br>
<br>
<a href="#0">Top Internet Governance Issues to Watch in 2009</a> <br>
<a href="#1">IGF Workshop Report: "The Future of ICANN: After the JPA,
What?"</a> <br>
<a href="#2">Europe pioneers IPv4 address transfer markets</a> <br>
<a href="#3">One Good Outcome from the Wall Street Journal - Google Flap</a> <br>
<a href="http://www.feedblitz.com/f?Search=175425">Search IGP Blog</a> <br>
<br>
<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<!-- AOL_MESSAGE -->
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font-family:"Trebuchet MS";color:#3F4A50'>
<hr size=2 width="100%" align=center>
</span></font></div>
<h3 style='line-height:12.75pt'><a name=0></a><b><font size=3 color="#4a6279"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><a
href="http://feedblitz.com/r.asp?l=37839190&f=175425&u=11399627"
title="external link"><!-- Begin .post --><!-- mueller@syr.edu -->Top
Internet Governance Issues to Watch in 2009 <!-- _!fbztxtlnk!_ http://feedblitz.com/r.asp?l=37839190&f=175425&u=11399627--></a><o:p></o:p></span></font></b></h3>
<div>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Here it is: IGP's
contribution to the beginning of the year forecasting. Note well: these are
not predictions of outcomes but designations of critical areas of change and
decision in Internet governance, where the outcome is still unknown. We are
sure we've overlooked some critical arenas -- use our comments to tell us
what they are! <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>1.
ICANN and its relationship to the USG </span></font></b></strong><br>
A shift from Republican Party conservative nationalism to Democratic Party
liberal internationalism, along with the expiration of the Joint Project
Agreement between ICANN and the U.S. Commerce Department on September 30,
makes 2009 a watershed year for ICANN’s tether to the <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region>
government. Moves toward internationalization by the Obama administration
could break policy logjams that date back to 2003 (if not earlier); on the
other hand, reassertion of the status quo would put an end to the original
Clinton Administration plans for a “transition” once and for all. As <st1:PersonName
w:st="on">Harold Feld</st1:PersonName> put it in a notable blog post, <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://www.wetmachine.com/item/1421">the
USG has to “quit playing games”</a> and fish or cut bait on the “transition”
to nongovernmental adminstration of DNS. A lot of subtle repercussions will
be felt either way; for example, international acceptance of a method for
signing the root so that secure DNS can be widely implemented could depend on
how the ICANN-USG relationship is reformed. It is also likely that there will
be agency turf battles over ICANN policy within the <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region>
government. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>2.
Deep Packet Inspection in the service of Internet control </span></font></b></strong><br>
Concerns about copyright protection, terrorism, illegal content, efficient
bandwidth management, intrusion detection, botnets and viruses are all
converging to tempt various parties to experiment with Deep Packet Inspection
(DPI). DPI is the technology that automatically opens all your packets in
real time and looks inside them before it decides whether to forward them or
not. Will 2009 be the year that DPI starts to settle into place as an
integrated infrastructure of Internet control – the ultimate man-in-the-middle
solution to Internet governance problems? Or, conversely, will it be the year
that we learn it doesn’t really work as well as we think it does; that it
can’t handle the capacity of higher speed networks; that principled ISPs and
digital rights groups take DPI off the agenda by highlighting its hostile
relationship to privacy and network neutrality? The <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://news.cnet.com/8301-13578_3-10021222-38.html">Comcast
incident </a>and the <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20081028-filtering-failure-belgian-isp-gets-reprieve-from-court.html">Belgian
court case</a> were only the opening shots in this battle. <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://www.lightreading.com/insider/">DPI
vendors take note</a>: this is the year we will find out which of these
scenarios is true (or, if we land somewhere in the middle, we should get a
good glimpse of which end of the spectrum we end up on). <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>3.
The new Internet Protocol: Can the Net reproduce itself?</span></font></b></strong>
<br>
Forget all that talk about a "clean slate Internet;" we're having
enough trouble implementing a new IP standard that developed a decade ago.
2009 will mark a turning point in the most important technical standards
migration on the Internet since its opening to the public in 1991 – the
transition from IP version 4 to IP version 6. IPv4 is the original Internet
protocol but it is running out of address space. IP version 6 is a new
standard with a much bigger address space, but it’s incompatible with the
older standard and has no major advantages over IPv4 other than its more
capacious address space. For many years incompatibility, the lack of a
reliable gateway protocol making v4 and v6 compatible, and the additional
expense, risk and trouble of shifting to a new standard have created a “you
first” game in which ISPs wait for someone else to take the lead. If that
pattern breaks this year we could see a stampede toward IPv6. But if the
holding pattern doesn’t break, then the regional address registries will be
forced to make major changes in their policies to head off IPv4 address
shortages in 2010 and 2011: legalized address transfer markets, tougher
reclamation policies, pressure on pre-RIR legacy holders, higher fees,
reservation policies, and so on. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>4.
ICANN’s abysmal new gTLD process </span></font></b></strong><br>
On December 18, the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region>
government gave ICANN a Christmas present: <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://www.icann.org/correspondence/baker-to-thrush-18dec08.pdf">a
letter containing a thorough trashing of its plan to open the DNS root to
lots of new top level domains</a>. The <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place
w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> letter joined a chorus of
big business and trademark interests who have always been against any new
TLDs, but it also made some valid criticisms about the proposal’s incredible
attempt to set up ICANN as global arbiter of “morality and public order,”
suggesting that that function might be better left to local laws. Will the <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> move
succeed in intimidating the ICANN Board? It already seems to have produced a
4 month delay. Bad as the policy is, derailing it opens up a huge can of
worms. While no one will rush to passionately defend a policy that institutes
global censorship of TLD strings, imposes outrageously high entry costs, and
gives any organized group in the world a hecklers veto, the fact remains that
<a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://www.icann.org/en/topics/new-gtlds/interactive.htm">this
Rube Goldberg contraption </a>emerged (more or less legitimately) from
ICANN’s policy process. The policy took full account of the “Principles
regarding new TLDs” given to ICANN by its Governmental Advisory Committee
(which includes the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region>)
and bent over backwards to accommodate the concerns of the trademark owners
who are now complaining about it. And what about the long-delayed
internationalized domain names? If ICANN can’t close the deal on this one,
people would have to start asking whether ICANN can succeed in making public
policy about anything related to DNS or internet identifiers; one would have
to conclude that there is something fundamentally unworkable about ICANN. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>5.
IGF renewal </span></font></b></strong><br>
By the end of this year it should be clear whether the <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://www.intgovforum.org/cms/">Internet
Governance Forum </a>was a short, not too unpleasant footnote in the history
of Internet governance or a relatively permanent feature of it going forward.
The World Summit on the Information Society’s Tunis Agenda gave the IGF a
five-year initial life span; by the end of 2010, the UN Secretary-General
must “examine the desirability of the continuation of the Forum, in formal
consultation with Forum participants,” and “make recommendations to the UN
Membership in this regard.” This means that consultations on the future of IGF
will take place in the second half of 2009, and that the issue of
continuation will probably form a major part of the discussions at the Cairo
IGF in November 2009. By the end of this year if should be clear whether
anyone out to kill the IGF or not. We suspect that the IGF will be renewed;
the more important issue, of course, is whether the IGF evolves into a more
influential and meaningful forum. <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://internetgovernance.org/pdf/MalcolmIGFReview.pdf">We
have published some analysis of that question</a>. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>6.
VoIP and the mobile Internet </span></font></b></strong><br>
2009 will be the year that the inherent tension between the broadband mobile
internet and traditional mobile voice revenues becomes fully evident and
starts to have major effects. The maturation of open source mobile platforms,
such as G1 Android or OpenMoko, coupled with the spread of WiFi compatible
phones, high-speed mobile networks, the explosion of the netbooks market this
year and the greater adoption of data communication capabilities by consumers
in developed countries, all will force mobile carriers to make a fateful
choice. Either adopt net neutrality principles and allow widespread adoption
of VOIP clients (e.g., Fring), or depart from NN principles and try to
preserve the remnants of their higher-margin circuit-switched voice traffic.
That policy issue will play out more in national arenas than in global ones,
which means that the results will be diverse, but an increasingly globalized
advocacy of NN as a principle could play an important role in the mix. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>7.
Can the ITU World Telecom Policy Forum revive WSIS?</span></font></b></strong>
<br>
The ITU is as determined as ever to retain its relevance in an
Internet-dominated world. Its <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://www.itu.int/osg/csd/wtpf/wtpf2009/">World
Telecom Policy Forum</a>, to be held in <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Lisbon</st1:City>,
<st1:country-region w:st="on">Portugal</st1:country-region></st1:place>
April 22-24, 2009, plans to deal extensively with Internet governance issues.
If the ITU is smart, it will try to open these proceedings to civil society
and lure other new actors into its venues, actors who may be less than
thrilled with the progress of the Internet Governance Forum and less than
supportive of ICANN. The WTPF could become a place for governments and other
actors unsure about or dissatisfied with the IGF/ICANN-centered regime to air
their grievances and attempt to develop an alternative center of policy
discourse, if not policy power. Can the ITU really become multistakeholder?
Granted, that will take more than one year… <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><strong><b><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS"'>8.
Will Governments make ISP intermediaries for security?</span></font></b></strong>
<br>
Over the past years, there have been increasing calls for governments to put
more pressure on ISPs to improve their security practices. After years of
focusing on end users with awareness raising campaigns and education, it has
become clear that such efforts cannot keep up with the changes in internet
abuse and cybercrime. Now the focus is shifiting to intermediaries. ISPs are
at the top of the list. The Dutch regulator OPTA threatened to introduce
regulation, then backtracked and talked about a quality mark or certification
scheme. The British House of Lords made similar recommendations. In <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Australia</st1:place></st1:country-region>,
ACMA already has enforceable codes of conducts for ISPs. It also notifies
ISPs directly about abuse and requires them to act on these notifications.
These examples are just the first steps of governments exploring what role
they can have or want to have when it comes to internet security.<o:p></o:p></p>
<div>
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face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:8.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS";
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<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:12.75pt'><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS";
color:#3F4A50'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<h3 style='line-height:12.75pt'><a name=1></a><b><font size=3 color="#4a6279"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><a
href="http://feedblitz.com/r.asp?l=37583368&f=175425&u=11399627"
title="external link">IGF Workshop Report: "The Future of ICANN: After
the JPA, What?" <!-- _!fbztxtlnk!_ http://feedblitz.com/r.asp?l=37583368&f=175425&u=11399627--></a><o:p></o:p></span></font></b></h3>
<div>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>ICANN, which coordinates
and sets policy for the global domain name system (DNS) and IP addressing, is
linked to the US Government through a Joint Project Agreement (JPA) that
expires in September 2009. The JPA and its renewal process provides what,
during WSIS, became known as "political oversight" over ICANN. The <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region> government
says that it is committed to "completing the transition" to private
sector coordination of the DNS, which implies an expiration of the JPA.
During the 2008 mid-term review, ICANN made it clear that it also strongly
supports an end to the JPA. ICANN's call was supported by some stakeholders.
Other parties, however, expressed concerns about its accountability without some
kind of governmental oversight.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>This workshop, held on
Wednesday December 4, 2008 at the Internet Governance Forum in <st1:City
w:st="on">Hyderabad</st1:City>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">India</st1:country-region>,
was designed to provide a careful and balanced exploration of whether ICANN
is ready to be free of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region>
government oversight, and if so what kind of external oversight - if any -
should replace it.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:12.75pt'><font size=1 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:8.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS";
color:#3F4A50'>• <a
href="http://feedblitz.com/f/f.fbz?Fwd2FriendEdit=175425;12422;http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/IGPBlog/~3/485597432/4022207.html;IGF%20Workshop%20Report:%20">Email
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face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS";
color:#3F4A50'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<h3 style='line-height:12.75pt'><a name=2></a><b><font size=3 color="#4a6279"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><a
href="http://feedblitz.com/r.asp?l=37708351&f=175425&u=11399627"
title="external link">Europe pioneers IPv4 address transfer markets <!-- _!fbztxtlnk!_ http://feedblitz.com/r.asp?l=37708351&f=175425&u=11399627--></a><o:p></o:p></span></font></b></h3>
<div>
<p style='line-height:12.75pt'><font size=2 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>The European regional
Internet address registry, RIPE-NCC, has finally passed an IPv4 address
transfer policy. This means that a legal market for trading in
rapidly-depleting IPv4 address resources will go into effect for any member
of RIPE-NCC. To discourage speculation, the proposal retains a simple form of
needs assessment and prevents buyers of address resources from reselling them
for two years. RIPE's decisive action contrasts markedly with the contentious
drama surrounding IPv4 transfer markets in the North American region. After
months and months of debate ARIN is still paralyzed and riven by ideological
disagreements. However, the implementation of the idea in the European region
will provide a chance to prove the concept. It is also possible that the RIPE
market will turn into a global one, as addresses can be transferred by any
RIPE member, and it is (we think) possible for Internet service providers
from outside the region to join RIPE. For a description of the new policy see
section 5.5 of RIPE NCC's <a
href="http://www.feedblitz.com/t.asp?/175425/11399627/http://www.ripe.net/ripe/docs/ipv4-policies.html">IPv4
Address Allocation and Assignment Policies</a>.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:12.75pt'><font size=1 color="#3f4a50"
face="Trebuchet MS"><span style='font-size:8.0pt;font-family:"Trebuchet MS";
color:#3F4A50'>• <a
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